Karlsruher SC vs SC Paderborn 07 Tips and Predictions O/U Gollll

German Bundesliga 2

Analysis More Tips

Karlsruher SC

SC Paderborn 07

Further Reading

Rinoandi Won 8/11

1) First I build the two expected goal rates (λ) From your last-7 samples: KSC home (7 games): Goals for = 2+2+2+1+2+2+3 = 14 GF_home = 14/7 = 2.00 Goals against = 3+1+3+0+1+0+2 = 10 GA_home = 10/7 = 1.43 Paderborn away (7 games): Goals for = 2+0+1+1+0+0+1 = 5 GF_away = 5/7 = 0.71 Goals against = 1+1+2+2+2+0+1 = 9 GA_away = 9/7 = 1.29 Then I combine attack vs opponent defence using a geometric mean (same logic as your μ = (attack × defence)): λ_home = (GF_home × GA_away) = (2.00 × 1.29) 1.60 λ_away = (GF_away × GA_home) = (0.71 × 1.43) 1.01 +0.5 65 % Why not AH -0.75? For -0.75 you need more 2+ goal wins. Here: P(KSC win by 2+) is only ~27% So -0.75 is too aggressive compared to how often KSC actually covers. Final: Karlsruher SC -0.5 is the correct AH line from your data.

AH
GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
Sam Luk Won 3/5

Karlsruher SC VS SC Paderborn 07 Both teams are in poor form recently, and the point gap between them is only 6 points. It's quite exaggerated that Paderborn is given a 0.5-goal handicap as the away team in today's odds. Asian odds play on people's psychology. We need to analyze whether this reflects the real preference of the oddsmakers or if they deliberately set high odds to create an illusion that Paderborn can win and mislead the fans. When seeing such odds, we can't subjectively judge which team is more favored. Different people have different thoughts. However, there is some information you need to know. Last week, Karlsruher SC terminated its cooperation with assistant coach Baramovic. Although head coach Eisner said there was no conflict between them, the impact on daily work arrangements and players was rather subtle. Baramovic and Eisner had worked together for 9 years. Pre - match training arrangements and tactical analysis were all handled by this assistant coach. Now, alt

AH
GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
KI BOY 168

Current League Position: Kaiserslautern has been a bit of a historic club that has fluctuated between divisions in recent years, much like Bielefeld. They were relegated to 3. Liga but made a return to the 2. Bundesliga, where they have been striving for stability. Recent Form: Kaiserslautern has shown improvement in recent seasons, with a steady push for promotion back to the Bundesliga. However, their performances can be erratic, with results often swinging between impressive wins and frustrating losses. Key Players: Kenny Prince Redondo: A key attacking player who can be a game-changer on the wing, with speed and dribbling ability. Marcel Correia: A strong defensive presence at the back. Florian Pick: Often provides a creativeCurrent League Position: Kaiserslautern has been a bit of a historic club that has fluctuated between divisions in recent years, much like Bielefeld. They were relegated to 3. Liga but made a return to the 2. Bundesliga, where they have been striving for stabil

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GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07

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Karlsruher SC VS SC Paderborn 07