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    Football> Community> Sam Luk>

    Karlsruher SC VS SC Paderborn 07

    German Bundesliga 2
    Analysis More Tips
    Karlsruher SC
    Karlsruher SC 0
    4 SC Paderborn 07
    SC Paderborn 07
    Further Reading
    • Lucky68
      Lucky68 Won 4/5
      Karlsruher SC VS SC Paderborn 07 I'm a well - known expert, providing long - term and stable information. This is a long - term high - quality product tailored for all fans! There are distinct differences between Karlsruhe and Paderborn. Karlsruhe has had a fluctuating recent form (3 wins, 1 draw, 6 losses). It ranks 8th with relatively less pressure, but its trend is downward. On the other hand, Paderborn has a stable form (6 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). It ranks 4th and is under the pressure of promotion. Psychologically, it has high morale but is also prone to nervousness. In terms of tactics, Karlsruhe is good at wing play and through - balls. It may target the weaknesses in Paderborn's defensive counter - attack. Paderborn focuses on ball - control and central attacks, but it needs to deal with Karlsruhe's wing threats. Regarding injuries and suspensions, Karlsruhe is missing a central midfielder, a second striker, and a center - back. Paderborn is lacking two center - backs. These
      O/U
      GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
    • KI BOY 168
      KI BOY 168
      Current League Position: Kaiserslautern has been a bit of a historic club that has fluctuated between divisions in recent years, much like Bielefeld. They were relegated to 3. Liga but made a return to the 2. Bundesliga, where they have been striving for stability. Recent Form: Kaiserslautern has shown improvement in recent seasons, with a steady push for promotion back to the Bundesliga. However, their performances can be erratic, with results often swinging between impressive wins and frustrating losses. Key Players: Kenny Prince Redondo: A key attacking player who can be a game-changer on the wing, with speed and dribbling ability. Marcel Correia: A strong defensive presence at the back. Florian Pick: Often provides a creativeCurrent League Position: Kaiserslautern has been a bit of a historic club that has fluctuated between divisions in recent years, much like Bielefeld. They were relegated to 3. Liga but made a return to the 2. Bundesliga, where they have been striving for stabil
      O/U
      GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
    • Rinoandi
      Rinoandi Won 8/11
      1) First I build the two expected goal rates (λ) From your last-7 samples: KSC home (7 games): Goals for = 2+2+2+1+2+2+3 = 14 GF_home = 14/7 = 2.00 Goals against = 3+1+3+0+1+0+2 = 10 GA_home = 10/7 = 1.43 Paderborn away (7 games): Goals for = 2+0+1+1+0+0+1 = 5 GF_away = 5/7 = 0.71 Goals against = 1+1+2+2+2+0+1 = 9 GA_away = 9/7 = 1.29 Then I combine attack vs opponent defence using a geometric mean (same logic as your μ = (attack × defence)): λ_home = (GF_home × GA_away) = (2.00 × 1.29) 1.60 λ_away = (GF_away × GA_home) = (0.71 × 1.43) 1.01 +0.5 65 % Why not AH -0.75? For -0.75 you need more 2+ goal wins. Here: P(KSC win by 2+) is only ~27% So -0.75 is too aggressive compared to how often KSC actually covers. Final: Karlsruher SC -0.5 is the correct AH line from your data.
      AH
      GER D2 Karlsruher SC 0-4 SC Paderborn 07
    More Tips
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      AH
      HOL D1 Sparta Rotterdam - SC Heerenveen
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      TUR D1 Gazisehir Gaziantep - Goztepe
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