Rodez Aveyron vs Guingamp Tips and Predictions O/U Rinoandi

France Ligue 2

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Rodez Aveyron

Guingamp

Further Reading

SuperVip Won 8/10

Rodez Aveyron VS Guingamp I've had 5 wins out of 7 recent predictions, and yesterday's ten - star prediction was a success. Let's keep it going！ Don't miss out on following my long - standing experience！ In the 17th round of the Ligue 2, Rodez currently ranks 13th in the league with a record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, accumulating 18 points. They only have a slim lead over the relegation zone. The team is in poor form recently, having failed to win in 4 consecutive league games, and only winning 1 out of the last 6 games. As a promoted team this season, Rodez performs relatively steadily at home, which is their main way to get points. Their home record in the league this season is 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. Playing at home in this game, it's a good opportunity for the team to gain points. I'm a professional advisor. I came here in 2014 and have 12 years of experience. Usually, I offer 1 prediction per day, and 2 on weekends. Recommendation: The away team will not lose. B

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FRA D2 Rodez Aveyron 2-1 Guingamp
Adijuntak888 Won 4/5

Rodez LWLLDD Rodez head into this fixture following on from a 1-1 Ligue 2 drawn result vs ESTAC. The only player to score from Rodez was Octave Joly (62'). Renaud Ripart (51') was the scorer for ESTAC. It has been seldom in recent games where Rodez havent conceded. The reality is that Rodez have been scored against in 6 of their previous 6 games, shipping 9 goals along the way. Looking at their past form shows that Rodez: have left without a victory over EA Guingamp in their previous 10 league matches. have not been beaten in their last 3 league matches at home. EA Guingamp EA Guingamp LDWDWL Following on from a loss in their previous game against Annecy FC in Ligue 2 competition, EA Guingamp and their travelling fans will hope for a better result here. Antoine Larose (4', 61') and Ben Hamed Touré (64') scored for Annecy FC. Sylvain Ripoll's EA Guingamp have found the back of the net 6 times in the course of their latest six matches. The number of goals t

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FRA D2 Rodez Aveyron 2-1 Guingamp
Noah Will

Rodez Aveyron VS Guingamp Let's analyze the Ligue 2 match between Rodez and Guingamp. Here's my analysis to help you win this game. The home team, Rodez, currently ranks 13th in the league. This season, Rodez has a record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses. In home games, they have 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses. At home, Rodez has scored 8 goals and conceded 8 goals, with an average of 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded per home game. The away team, Guingamp, currently ranks 9th in the league. This season, Guingamp has a record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses. In away games, they have 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. On the road, Guingamp has scored 12 goals and conceded 12 goals, with an average of 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 goals conceded per away game. Let's take a look at the recent data of the two teams. The home - playing Rodez has scored 12 goals and conceded 14 in their last 10 games, with 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses. The away - playing Guingamp has scored 16 goals and conceded

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FRA D2 Rodez Aveyron 2-1 Guingamp

More Tips

1) Build the two teams home/away xG profiles From your lists: Kazincbarcikai (HOME games) Avg xG for (home attack) = 1.22 Avg xG against (home defence) = 1.52 Paksi (AWAY games) Avg xG for (away attack) = 1.05 Avg xG against (away defence) = 1.56 2) Convert those into expected goals for this match I combine attack vs defence with a geometric mean (standard approach): λ_home = (Kaz home xG_for × Paksi away xG_against) = (1.22 × 1.56) = 1.38 λ_away = (Paksi away xG_for × Kaz home xG_against) = (1.05 × 1.52) = 1.26 So the match is basically 1.38 1.26 (very close). 3) Turn λ into Win/Draw/Lose (Poisson) From Poisson on (1.38, 1.26): Kaz win: 39.74% Draw: 26.10% Paksi win: 34.16% This is the key for handicap. 4) What each handicap line means in W / Push / L AH 0 (PK / DNB) on Kaz Win: 39.74% (Kaz win) Push: 26.10% (draw) Lose: 34.16% (Kaz lose) So PK is very close to balanced, with Kaz a small favourite. Break-even (fair) odds for Kaz 0: = 1 + Lose/Win = 1 + 0.3416/0.3974 = 1.86

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HUN D1 Kazincbarcika - Paksi SE Honlapja
For Petrolul vs U Cluj we had λ_total = 2.65 (1.24 + 1.41). Correct O/U line (50/50) O/U 2.5 is the fair total Over 2.5: 49.4% Under 2.5: 50.6% Strict O/U 3.0 (3+) Over 3.0: win 27.5% / push 21.9% / full-loss 50.6% Under 3.0: win 50.6% / push 21.9% / full-loss 27.5% So total goals 𝑇 T is modeled as Poisson(2.65). Asian Total Over 2.0 what it means WIN if T 3 PUSH if T = 2 FULL LOSS if T 1 (0 or 1 goal) Probabilities (from Poisson with μ = 2.65) P(0) = 7.1% P(1) = 18.7% P(2) = 24.8% P(3+) = 49.4% Therefore for Over 2.0 Win (3+): 49.4% Push (exactly 2): 24.8%. Full-loss (01): 25.8%. Fair price for Over 2.0 (break-even odds). So, Over 2.0 is value only if odds are > ~1.52 (before margin). P(0) = 7.1%. P(1) = 18.7%. P(2) = 24.8%. P(3+) = 49.4%.

O/U
ROM D1 Petrolul Ploiesti - Universitaea Cluj

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Rodez Aveyron VS Guingamp